2030 CO2 emission targets in transport demand 30% reduction of fossil fuels use

To achieve the 2030 CO2 emission reduction targets that are in line with the Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR), fossil energy use in transport will have to be capped to a level of maximum 9 thousand PJ, nearly 30% lower than the 2017 amount of 12,7 thousand PJ. The current targets for the share of renewable fuels in the 2021-2030 Renewable Energy Directive are not sufficient to achieve these ESR targets.

The share of renewable energy in transport will have to grow significantly, from 1 thousand to more than 5 thousand PJ. Our analysis shows that in the next decade the majority of this renewable energy consists of renewable fuels, to a lesser extent renewable electricity and last but not least by improved energy efficiency performance. The share or renewable energy in transport needs to increase from 7,4% (which in fact includes double counting of certain biofuels) to a physical share of 37% (without any double counting)

The available measures to keep the use of fossil fuels under this level of 9 thousand PJ consist of:

  • increasing the share of electric mobility,
  • increased energy efficiency (and hence less total energy use),
  • enable modal shift in personal mobility to less carbon and energy intense options (public transport, use of bicycles)
  • increased use of renewable fuels (in particle in the existing vehicle fleet and in heavier duty segments.

The report with the elaborate analysis is found here. The report has been written for DG Energy of the European Commission.

Related

Job opening for a Medior Advisor

studio Gear Up B.V. is looking for an experienced, conscientious and self-starting medior advisor with knowledge of green molecules / green-carbon-based sectors; fuels and chemistry and committed to the threefold transitions we are facing as

Read More

Mobility Monitor 2025

For: NOVE – Netherlands Business Association for Independent Fuel Suppliers [January – March 2025] For NOVE, the Netherlands Business Association for Independent Fuel Suppliers, studio Gear Up developed an annually recurring Mobility Monitor that provides

Read More

Database Green Production Facilities

The studio Gear Up Green Production Facilities provides an overview of global production facilities for renewable fuels and energy carriers. The database aggregates data from multiple sources and can provide customer-specific overview and visuals of

Read More
Scroll to Top